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Palm Oil Market Futures & Updates | April 17, 2024

Malaysian Palm Oil Futures Dip Amidst Rivalry in Edible Oils Market

Malaysian palm oil market witnessed a downward trend on Wednesday, marking the fourth consecutive session of decline and reaching their lowest closing point in six weeks. This dip was influenced by the competitive pricing of alternative edible oils, which exerted pressure on demand within the market. The benchmark palm oil contract for July delivery on the BMD Exchange experienced a decline of 1.52%, settling at 4,012 ringgit ($837.58) per metric ton. 

CPO FUTURES PRICES IN RINGGIT

Month

Last

Open

Change

High

Low

May’24

4158

4217

-56

4230

4115

Jun’24

4072

4137

-62

4151

4032

Jul’24

4014

4077

-60

4093

3974

Aug’24

3963

4019

-53

4033

3920

BY TEAM ABDUL HAMEED

Factors Contributing to the Decline

The latest USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report unveiled figures that leaned towards a bearish outlook.(as we predicted before) Consequently, this prompted funds to divest from existing positions and cultivate short interests across the grains and oilseed sectors. 

  • Influence of Rival Oils

The downward trajectory of Malaysian palm oil futures has been influenced by the performance of related oils in the market. For instance, Dalian’s most-active soyoil contract experienced a decline of 1.5%, while its palm oil contract eased by 2.4%. Similarly, These movements underscore the competitive landscape within the global vegetable oils market, where palm oil competes for market share against its counterparts.

Short Term Demand Boost

Despite the prevailing challenges, there is optimism regarding a potential uptick in demand in the short term. The current tightness observed in destination markets is likely to drive increased demand amidst the ongoing price adjustments. 

Implications for Palm Oil

The broader context of the market includes the influence of external factors such as oil prices. On Wednesday,Additionally, weaker economic data from China and diminished prospects of interest rate cuts have contributed to apprehensions regarding global demand.The decline in crude oil futures has implications for palm oil as a biodiesel feedstock, rendering it a less attractive option under the prevailing market conditions.

Click Here To View April 16, 2024 Report

In conclusion, Malaysian palm oil market reveals a delicate interplay of domestic and global factors. As these uncertainties, a comprehensive understanding of the evolving dynamics for Palm trade in Bearish Position due to narrow gap between rival soft edibles oils, it may hovering in the range of MYR3,950 to MYR4,250 per ton.

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